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Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew prediction, odds, MLS picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew predictions for MLS Saturday.
Sporting KC will square off with Columbus in MLS action on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Columbus as the most likely winner of the Sporting KC vs. Columbus game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Sporting KC and Columbus 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 24.1% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 54.2% chance for Columbus, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63% chance of going over, according to our model.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sporting KC | Columbus | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +370 | -135 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sporting KC | +370 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Columbus win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SKC 1-2 COL | 9.7% |
| SKC 1-1 COL | 9.7% |
| SKC 0-1 COL | 7.7% |
Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Sporting KC and Columbus is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. Columbus Crew
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Max Arfsten (USA)
Columbus winger Max Arfsten is one to watch for USMNT supporters this season as interest grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Arfsten's MLS form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 24.1% win probability on Saturday, Columbus has a 54.2% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sporting KC vs. Columbus insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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