Columbus vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Columbus vs. Sporting KC MLS match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Columbus
2
:
2
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
ColumbusCLB
D. Joveljic (48')
Soccer ball icon
D. Joveljic (72')
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W. Abou Ali (33')
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D. Rossi (82')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Columbus
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Agyabeng replaces J. Bartlett
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces S. Suleymanov
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Miller replaces I. James
  4. 87'
    Penalty missed by W. Abou Ali for Columbus Crew
  5. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Columbus Crew by D. Rossi
    2-2
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces C. Harris
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: J. Thiare replaces S. Moreira
  8. 79'
    Yellow Card
    S. Zawadzki (Columbus Crew) cautioned
  9. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
    1-2
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: H. Picard replaces D. Gazdag
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Columbus Crew: S. Bangoura replaces T. Habroune
  12. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
    1-1
  13. 44'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pulskamp (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  14. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Columbus Crew by W. Abou Ali
    1-0
  15. 15'
    Yellow Card
    A. Herrera (Columbus Crew) cautioned

Columbus vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Columbus vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Columbus -135, Sporting KC +380, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Columbus: 54.2%
  • Sporting KC: 24.1%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Columbus 1-1 Sporting KC (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Columbus vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

Columbus is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Columbus 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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