Sebastian Baez vs. Damir Dzumhur Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Sebastian Baez will face Damir Dzumhur in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Baez-Dzumhur match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Sebastian Baez is more likely to win, while Damir Dzumhur has a lower chance of victory."

For further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Baez vs. Dzumhur predictions page.

Baez vs. Dzumhur Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Baez-Dzumhur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Baez a 65% chance of defeating Dzumhur at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Baez has a 62% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Sebastian Baez vs. Damir Dzumhur Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Baez	Dzumhur
Moneyline	-400	+300
First Set	-278	+220

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Baez vs. Dzumhur Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Baez vs. Dzumhur match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Baez vs. Dzumhur Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Sebastian Baez and Damir Dzumhur is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 5:00AM ET.

• Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Damir Dzumhur
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Baez vs. Dzumhur match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sebastian Baez vs. Damir Dzumhur picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Sebastian Baez, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Damir Dzumhur at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Dzumhur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.