May 16, 2026
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Read Article San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas predictions for MLS Saturday.
San Jose will square off with Dallas in MLS action at PayPal Park on Saturday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts San Jose as the most likely winner of the San Jose vs. Dallas game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between San Jose and Dallas, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 52.4% chance of San Jose winning, a 25.9% chance for Dallas, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | San Jose | Dallas | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +260 | +230 | +310 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose | +260 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Jose to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 San Jose win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SJE 2-1 DAL | 9.5% |
| SJE 1-1 DAL | 9.5% |
| SJE 1-0 DAL | 7.1% |
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between San Jose and Dallas in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: PayPal Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Jesús Ferreira (USA)
Dallas forward Jesús Ferreira is a key name to follow for USMNT supporters this season as interest grows as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Ferreira's MLS form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, San Jose has a 52.4% win probability on Saturday, Dallas has a 25.9% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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