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Read Article Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Arizona Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [6/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres will lock horns in MLB action at Chase Field on Sunday, starting at 4:10PM ET.
Merrill Kelly (6-2, 3.18 ERA) will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Padres are going with Nick Pivetta (6-2, 3.48 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Diamondbacks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's San Diego-Arizona game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Diamondbacks with a win probability of 54%, while the Padres have 46%."
For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASEBALL Get Dimers Pro Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Padres and Diamondbacks 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 54% chance of beating the Padres.
According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:28PM, Jun 15
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Nick Pivetta 6-2, 3.48 ERA
Merrill Kelly 6-2, 3.18 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds [6/15/2025]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-178) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -132 |
| Total | o8.5 (-120) | u8.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Padres at Chase Field is scheduled to begin at 4:10PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025
- Time: 4:10PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any San Diego vs. Arizona picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
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Conclusion
We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Padres on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Padres vs. Diamondbacks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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