Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Phillies MLB game on June 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 1-1, 1.86 ERA
2
8
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 5-4, 4.35 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 7 0
Phillies
3 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 8 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Connor Norby grounds out to shallow infield, Max Lazar to Kyle Schwarber.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B3000011.0000.250
2 O. Lopez SS4010000.2500.750
3 L. Hicks C4010001.2500.500
4 H. Hernández RF4000002.0000.000
5 J. Sanoja 3B4010002.2500.500
6 L. Jiménez DH4110002.2500.750
7 E. Ruiz LF4122102.5001.750
8 J. Marsee CF4010001.2500.500
9 C. Norby 1B3000011.0000.250
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Marsh LF3212111.3331.833
2 K. Schwarber 1B2211121.5002.750
3 B. Harper DH3100010.0000.250
4 A. Bohm 3B4223100.5001.750
5 B. Stott 2B4012000.2501.000
6 J. Realmuto C4000003.0000.000
7 D. Hill RF1000000.0000.000
8 J. Crawford CF3000001.0000.000
9 E. Sosa SS3110000.3330.666

Marlins vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins 37¢, Phillies 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 32%
  • Phillies: 68%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 32%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.