Jun 15, 2026
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Read Article Mets vs. Reds prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds predictions for MLB Monday.
The Cincinnati Reds will face the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Great American Ball Park on Monday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
The Reds will have Chase Burns (7-1, 2.14 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Tobias Myers (0-1, 4.05 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Reds a slight edge with a 54.0% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Mets vs. Reds matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Reds prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Reds, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Reds a 54.0% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 54.6% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Reds odds [6/15/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-181) | -1.5 (+150) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Total | o8 (-115) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Reds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -181 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +120 |
| Total | Over 8 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Reds game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Reds and Mets at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Reds, with a 54.0% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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