Spurs vs. Warriors prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 24 points in Wednesday's NBA game [2/11/2026]

The Golden State Warriors will take on the favored San Antonio Spurs in NBA action at Chase Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Warriors game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like De'Anthony Melton, Moses Moody and Brandin Podziemski, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Spurs a 73% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 113-106.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Spurs and Warriors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 220.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Spurs vs. Warriors odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Warriors picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.

Spurs vs. Warriors player props

Betting on San Antonio vs. Golden State NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 24 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists, while De'Anthony Melton is projected to have 14 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Warriors.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Warriors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:

Spurs vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Warriors and Spurs at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Wednesday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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