NBA picks today: Wednesday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Nuggets play [2/11/2026]

Grizzlies +13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has identified value on Grizzlies +13.5 at -105 odds. A 57.4% probability produces an edge of 6.2%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Wizards +17.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Wizards +17.5 carries a 6.2% edge and a probability of 58.6% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Hornets ML (-130)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Hornets ML at -130 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 56.6% probability in simulations.

Jazz ML (-198)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 4.2% edge and 69.6% probability make Jazz at the moneyline at a value play in the Kings vs. Jazz matchup, per our model.

Bulls +13.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Bulls +13.5 at -108 odds presents a 3.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.8%.

Raptors ML (-112)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on Raptors to win at -112 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Pelicans ML (-122)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pelicans ML at -122 odds. A 58.4% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Bucks +10.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 3.0% edge on a 54.2% probability makes Bucks +10.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Bucks vs. Magic matchup.

Warriors +6.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on Warriors +6.5 at -105 odds. A 54.2% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making Warriors the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Spurs ML (-230)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 72.4%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Spurs to defeat Warriors at -230 odds shows a 72.4% probability and a 2.7% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 2/11/2026

As of 5:42PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets	Grizzlies +13.5	-105 @ FanDuel	6.2%	57.4%
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards +17.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.2%	58.6%
Hawks vs. Hornets	Hornets ML	-130 @ DraftKings	6.0%	56.6%
Kings vs. Jazz	Jazz ML	-198 @ DraftKings	4.2%	69.6%
Bulls vs. Celtics	Bulls +13.5	-108 @ DraftKings	3.9%	55.8%
Pistons vs. Raptors	Raptors ML	-112 @ DraftKings	3.6%	54.8%
Heat vs. Pelicans	Pelicans ML	-122 @ DraftKings	3.5%	58.4%
Bucks vs. Magic	Bucks +10.5	-105 @ BetMGM	3.0%	54.2%
Spurs vs. Warriors	Warriors +6.5	-105 @ DraftKings	3.0%	54.2%
Spurs vs. Warriors	Spurs ML	-230 @ DraftKings	2.7%	72.4%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [2/11/2026]

• Bucks vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Wizards vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pistons vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Knicks vs. 76ers (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bulls vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pacers vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Clippers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Heat vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Thunder vs. Suns (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Grizzlies vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Kings vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Spurs vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for February 11, 2026, featuring plays such as Grizzlies +13.5 and Wizards +17.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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