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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets NBA game on February 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
122
Feb 12, 2AM Ball Arena
Feb 12, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 28 | 26 | 27 | 35 | 116 |
Nuggets | 30 | 30 | 33 | 29 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 28 | 26 | 27 | 35 | 116 |
Nuggets | 30 | 30 | 33 | 29 | 122 |
Q4 00:01 GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:02 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:44 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Grizzlies offensive rebound
GG Jackson offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies personal foul
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, GG Jackson)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Lawson Lovering makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Lawson Lovering misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. Nikola Jokic vs. Lawson Lovering (Jamal Murray gains possession)
Nuggets defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, GG Jackson)
Nuggets turnover
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
+2
Lawson Lovering makes two point cutting layup (Ty Jerome assists)
116-122
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Lawson Lovering, Ty Jerome)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Ty Jerome)
Nuggets turnover
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
116-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Julian Strawther misses two point driving finger roll layup
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
116-122
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-122
Grizzlies personal foul
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
116-122
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
116-122
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
116-122
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover (Cam Spencer steals)
Grizzlies lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets 60 second timeout
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Lawson Lovering turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
116-122
Nuggets personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Lawson Lovering defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Taylor Hendricks personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
116-122
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point putback layup
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies personal foul
+2
GG Jackson makes two point running layup (Ty Jerome assists)
116-122
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets turnover
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies defensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Christian Braun turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Cam Spencer misses heave shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther)
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point tip layup
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-99
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-99
Grizzlies personal foul
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Grizzlies personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-99
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-99
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-99
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-122
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-99
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-99
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
86-99
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Ty Jerome)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-122
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses two point jump shot
Lawson Lovering offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-122
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
116-122
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
Lawson Lovering defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
116-122
Lawson Lovering offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
+2
Lawson Lovering makes two point jump shot
116-122
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Other)
Grizzlies challenge timeout
Nuggets turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -14
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +570, Nuggets -675
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 15%
- Nuggets: 85%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 113-126 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 15%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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