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- Predictions
Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Suns NBA game on February 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
136
109
Feb 12, 2AM Mortgage Matchup Center
Feb 12, 2AM Mortgage Matchup Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 37 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 136 |
Suns | 25 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 37 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 136 |
Suns | 25 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 109 |
Q4 00:23 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Jaylin Williams blocks Jamaree Bouyea's two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:22 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
136-109
Koby Brea defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
136-107
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns turnover
Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams blocks Jamaree Bouyea's two point driving floating jump shot
Suns offensive rebound
Suns turnover
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
132-107
Khaman Maluach offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
134-107
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Suns turnover
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
134-107
+2
Khaman Maluach makes two point cutting dunk (Jamaree Bouyea assists)
134-107
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
134-107
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jamaree Bouyea misses two point pullup jump shot
Thunder turnover
Suns lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Khaman Maluach, Koby Brea, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Buddy Boeheim misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
134-107
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
134-107
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Koby Brea makes three point jump shot (Amir Coffey assists)
123-97
Suns personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-107
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-107
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Buddy Boeheim, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Suns lineup change (Khaman Maluach, Koby Brea, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming, Ryan Dunn)
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Khaman Maluach offensive rebound
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
Suns misses three point jump shot
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Amir Coffey misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jaylin Williams makes two point floating jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
132-107
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
134-107
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jamaree Bouyea makes two point jump shot
134-107
Amir Coffey defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Rasheer Fleming makes three point jump shot (Amir Coffey assists)
123-97
Amir Coffey offensive rebound
Amir Coffey misses two point driving reverse layup
Amir Coffey defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
134-107
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Suns lineup change (Jamaree Bouyea, Khaman Maluach, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming, Ryan Dunn)
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
134-107
Suns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Amir Coffey misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)
132-107
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
132-105
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jamaree Bouyea makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-107
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming, Ryan Dunn)
+1
Jamaree Bouyea makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-107
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
134-107
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point cutting layup (Kenrich Williams assists)
134-107
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
134-107
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns turnover
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams)
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Jordan Goodwin, Rasheer Fleming, Ryan Dunn)
Dillon Brooks personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-107
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-107
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
Suns personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
134-107
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
Suns turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
132-107
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
132-107
Royce O'Neale shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Suns 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-107
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-107
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
134-107
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
132-107
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point tip layup
134-107
Suns 60 second timeout
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Dillon Brooks offensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
134-107
+3
Collin Gillespie makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)
134-107
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
134-107
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Dillon Brooks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
123-97
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
123-97
Dillon Brooks offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
123-97
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point stepback jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point driving layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns turnover
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Mark Williams, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
123-97
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
+2
Rasheer Fleming makes two point jump shot
123-97
Suns misses two point jump shot
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
123-97
Thunder turnover
Ryan Dunn blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Rasheer Fleming, Royce O'Neale, Ryan Dunn)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Suns turnover
Cason Wallace turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
123-97
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
123-97
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Ryan Dunn)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
123-97
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-97
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mark Williams misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams blocks Jordan Goodwin's two point driving floating jump shot
Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
123-97
Thunder personal foul
Dillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-97
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
123-97
Thunder defensive rebound
Jamaree Bouyea personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-97
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-97
Suns misses three point jump shot
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
123-97
Suns personal foul
Instant replay
Isaiah Joe misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dillon Brooks technical foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes technical free throw 1 of 1
123-97
Suns personal foul
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Mark Williams, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Royce O'Neale misses three point jump shot
Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
123-97
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
123-97
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin, Royce O'Neale)
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Amir Coffey misses heave shot
Suns offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| G | 3 | J. McCain | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 14 | B. Boeheim | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 14 | K. Brea | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 10 | K. Maluach | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| G | 17 | J. Bouyea | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| G-F | 2 | A. Coffey | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 20 | R. Fleming | 8 | 3 | 2 |
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Thunder vs. Suns: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Suns
- Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -278, Suns +235
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 73%
- Suns: 27%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 111-104 Suns.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 73%, while the Suns have a win probability of 27%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Suns in the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Suns predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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