Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets NBA game on February 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Grizzlies
116
122
Ball Arena
Nuggets
Ball Arena
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
28 26 27 35 116
Nuggets
30 30 33 29 122
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
  • Nuggets
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
28 26 27 35 116
Nuggets
30 30 33 29 122
Q4 00:01 GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:02 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:44 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:01
    GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
  5. Q4 00:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:04
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  7. Q4 00:04
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  8. Q4 00:04
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
  9. Q4 00:04
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 00:04
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
  11. Q4 00:04
    Grizzlies personal foul
  12. Q4 00:05
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:09
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
  14. Q4 00:09
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, GG Jackson)
  15. Q4 00:09
    Nuggets personal foul
  16. Q4 00:09
    +1
    Lawson Lovering makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  17. Q4 00:09
    Lawson Lovering misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  18. Q4 00:11
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
  19. Q4 00:11
    Grizzlies personal foul
  20. Q4 00:11
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  21. Q4 00:11
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  22. Q4 00:11
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 00:14
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  24. Q4 00:17
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 00:23
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  26. Q4 00:26
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 00:42
    Jump ball. Nikola Jokic vs. Lawson Lovering (Jamal Murray gains possession)
  28. Q4 00:42
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  29. Q4 00:44
    GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
  30. Q4 00:44
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 00:44
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  32. Q4 00:57
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  33. Q4 00:58
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  34. Q4 1:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 1:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  36. Q4 1:19
    Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
  37. Q4 1:43
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  38. Q4 1:54
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  39. Q4 1:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  40. Q4 1:55
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 2:17
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  42. Q4 2:31
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  43. Q4 2:31
    Grizzlies personal foul
  44. Q4 2:31
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  45. Q4 2:31
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  46. Q4 2:32
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 2:49
    Grizzlies personal foul
  48. Q4 2:49
    Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  49. Q4 2:49
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, GG Jackson)
  50. Q4 2:58
    Nuggets turnover
  51. Q4 3:17
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  52. Q4 3:19
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 3:36
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  54. Q4 3:50
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  55. Q4 4:03
    Nuggets turnover
  56. Q4 4:05
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering)
  57. Q4 4:05
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
  58. Q4 4:30
    +2
    Lawson Lovering makes two point cutting layup (Ty Jerome assists)
    116-122
  59. Q4 4:45
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  60. Q4 5:13
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  61. Q4 5:27
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  62. Q4 5:29
    Grizzlies personal foul
  63. Q4 5:29
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  64. Q4 5:29
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  65. Q4 5:44
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  66. Q4 5:59
    Grizzlies personal foul
  67. Q4 5:59
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  68. Q4 5:59
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Lawson Lovering, Ty Jerome)
  69. Q4 5:59
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  70. Q4 6:08
    Grizzlies personal foul
  71. Q4 6:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
  72. Q4 6:08
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  73. Q4 6:24
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  74. Q4 6:27
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  75. Q4 6:30
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 6:43
    Grizzlies personal foul
  77. Q4 6:55
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  78. Q4 7:02
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  79. Q4 7:06
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 7:23
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  81. Q4 7:23
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  82. Q4 7:25
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  83. Q4 7:27
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:29
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  85. Q4 7:53
    Nuggets personal foul
  86. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  87. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  88. Q4 7:53
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Ty Jerome)
  89. Q4 8:05
    Nuggets turnover
  90. Q4 8:31
    +2
    Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
    116-122
  91. Q4 8:40
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  92. Q4 9:03
    Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
  93. Q4 9:03
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  94. Q4 9:06
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:17
    Nuggets personal foul
  96. Q4 9:22
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  97. Q4 9:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  98. Q4 9:25
    Julian Strawther misses two point driving finger roll layup
  99. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  100. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  101. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  102. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  103. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  104. Q4 9:33
    Instant replay
  105. Q4 9:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
  106. Q4 9:44
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:46
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  108. Q4 10:04
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  109. Q4 10:22
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    116-122
  110. Q4 10:32
    Nuggets personal foul
  111. Q4 10:52
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  112. Q4 10:56
    Grizzlies turnover
  113. Q4 11:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  114. Q4 11:34
    Nuggets personal foul
  115. Q4 11:34
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  116. Q4 11:34
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  117. Q4 11:46
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  118. Q4 11:50
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  120. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  121. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  122. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
  123. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther)
  124. Q3 00:05
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  125. Q3 00:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  126. Q3 00:30
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  127. Q3 00:33
    Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:49
    Nuggets personal foul
  129. Q3 00:49
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  130. Q3 00:49
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-122
  131. Q3 1:11
    Grizzlies personal foul
  132. Q3 1:11
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  133. Q3 1:11
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  134. Q3 1:11
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    116-122
  135. Q3 1:11
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    116-122
  136. Q3 1:29
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  137. Q3 1:31
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  138. Q3 1:44
    +3
    Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
    116-122
  139. Q3 1:58
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  140. Q3 2:00
    Jahmai Mashack misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 2:09
    Nuggets turnover (Cam Spencer steals)
  142. Q3 2:21
    Grizzlies lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
  143. Q3 2:21
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
  144. Q3 2:21
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  145. Q3 2:21
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  146. Q3 2:31
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  147. Q3 2:35
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 2:50
    Grizzlies personal foul
  149. Q3 2:50
    Lawson Lovering turnover (offensive foul)
  150. Q3 2:59
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
    116-122
  151. Q3 3:18
    Nuggets personal foul
  152. Q3 3:18
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  153. Q3 3:18
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  154. Q3 3:21
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  155. Q3 3:23
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 3:31
    Lawson Lovering defensive rebound
  157. Q3 3:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  158. Q3 3:33
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  159. Q3 3:52
    Grizzlies personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  160. Q3 3:52
    Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  161. Q3 3:52
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Scotty Pippen Jr., Lawson Lovering, Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
  162. Q3 4:03
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  163. Q3 4:05
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 4:15
    Taylor Hendricks turnover (offensive foul)
  165. Q3 4:15
    Grizzlies personal foul
  166. Q3 4:15
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, GG Jackson)
  167. Q3 4:21
    Nuggets personal foul
  168. Q3 4:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  169. Q3 4:41
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  170. Q3 4:43
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 4:56
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  172. Q3 4:56
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  173. Q3 5:06
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  174. Q3 5:08
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  175. Q3 5:19
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  176. Q3 5:19
    Taylor Hendricks personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  177. Q3 5:19
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  178. Q3 5:19
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  179. Q3 5:28
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  180. Q3 5:30
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  181. Q3 5:46
    +2
    Christian Braun makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
    116-122
  182. Q3 5:50
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  183. Q3 5:52
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 6:00
    Nuggets personal foul
  185. Q3 6:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun)
  186. Q3 6:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer)
  187. Q3 6:22
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  188. Q3 6:35
    Nuggets personal foul
  189. Q3 6:35
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  190. Q3 6:35
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  191. Q3 6:35
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
  192. Q3 6:35
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  193. Q3 6:45
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  194. Q3 6:48
    +2
    Nikola Jokic makes two point putback layup
    116-122
  195. Q3 6:50
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  196. Q3 7:05
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  197. Q3 7:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  198. Q3 7:36
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  199. Q3 7:39
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 7:45
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  201. Q3 7:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  202. Q3 7:47
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  203. Q3 7:54
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  204. Q3 7:57
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  205. Q3 8:08
    Grizzlies personal foul
  206. Q3 8:08
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  207. Q3 8:08
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  208. Q3 8:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
  209. Q3 8:08
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  210. Q3 8:21
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  211. Q3 8:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  212. Q3 8:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  213. Q3 8:43
    Grizzlies personal foul
  214. Q3 8:58
    +2
    GG Jackson makes two point running layup (Ty Jerome assists)
    116-122
  215. Q3 8:58
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  216. Q3 9:04
    Nuggets turnover
  217. Q3 9:15
    Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
  218. Q3 9:20
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 9:30
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  220. Q3 9:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  221. Q3 9:30
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  222. Q3 9:34
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  223. Q3 9:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  224. Q3 10:04
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  225. Q3 10:07
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  226. Q3 10:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  227. Q3 10:29
    Grizzlies personal foul
  228. Q3 10:30
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  229. Q3 10:30
    Grizzlies personal foul
  230. Q3 10:31
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 10:48
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  232. Q3 10:53
    Christian Braun turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)
  233. Q3 11:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  234. Q3 11:07
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  235. Q3 11:10
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 11:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  237. Q3 11:45
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  238. Q2 00:00
    Cam Spencer misses heave shot
  239. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  240. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  241. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  242. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther)
  243. Q2 00:01
    Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
  244. Q2 00:04
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  245. Q2 00:20
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  246. Q2 00:23
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  247. Q2 00:29
    Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
  248. Q2 00:29
    Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
  249. Q2 00:30
    Nikola Jokic misses two point tip layup
  250. Q2 00:32
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  251. Q2 00:48
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  252. Q2 00:52
    Nuggets turnover
  253. Q2 1:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  254. Q2 1:20
    Nuggets turnover
  255. Q2 1:37
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  256. Q2 1:51
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
  257. Q2 1:51
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  258. Q2 1:51
    Grizzlies personal foul
  259. Q2 1:51
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  260. Q2 1:51
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  261. Q2 1:51
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  262. Q2 2:00
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  263. Q2 2:04
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 2:15
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  265. Q2 2:17
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 2:30
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  267. Q2 2:53
    Julian Strawther offensive rebound
  268. Q2 2:53
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  269. Q2 2:56
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  270. Q2 3:09
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  271. Q2 3:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  272. Q2 3:09
    Grizzlies lineup change (Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, GG Jackson)
  273. Q2 3:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  274. Q2 3:12
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  275. Q2 3:16
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 3:28
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-99
  277. Q2 3:28
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-99
  278. Q2 3:28
    Grizzlies personal foul
  279. Q2 3:30
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  280. Q2 3:32
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  281. Q2 3:46
    Nuggets personal foul
  282. Q2 3:46
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  283. Q2 3:48
    Grizzlies personal foul
  284. Q2 3:48
    Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  285. Q2 3:48
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  286. Q2 3:48
    +1
    Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-122
  287. Q2 4:03
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  288. Q2 4:06
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  289. Q2 4:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  290. Q2 4:51
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  291. Q2 5:09
    Grizzlies personal foul
  292. Q2 5:09
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-99
  293. Q2 5:09
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer)
  294. Q2 5:09
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-99
  295. Q2 5:24
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-99
  296. Q2 5:24
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Taylor Hendricks, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome)
  297. Q2 5:24
    Nuggets personal foul
  298. Q2 5:24
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-122
  299. Q2 5:24
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  300. Q2 5:29
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  301. Q2 5:32
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 5:43
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  303. Q2 5:44
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  304. Q2 6:00
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  305. Q2 6:00
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  306. Q2 6:03
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  307. Q2 6:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  308. Q2 6:20
    Nuggets personal foul
  309. Q2 6:20
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-122
  310. Q2 6:35
    +1
    Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-99
  311. Q2 6:35
    +1
    Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-99
  312. Q2 6:36
    Grizzlies personal foul
  313. Q2 6:36
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  314. Q2 6:36
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
  315. Q2 7:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    86-99
  316. Q2 7:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  317. Q2 7:17
    Instant replay
  318. Q2 7:18
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  319. Q2 7:27
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 7:27
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  321. Q2 7:27
    Grizzlies personal foul
  322. Q2 7:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  323. Q2 7:34
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  324. Q2 7:37
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 7:46
    Grizzlies personal foul
  326. Q2 8:04
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  327. Q2 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  328. Q2 8:06
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 8:18
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  330. Q2 8:18
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaylen Wells, Taylor Hendricks, Ty Jerome)
  331. Q2 8:20
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  332. Q2 8:28
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  333. Q2 8:30
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 8:47
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  335. Q2 8:55
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  336. Q2 8:57
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 9:17
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  338. Q2 9:40
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  339. Q2 10:01
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 10:01
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  341. Q2 10:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  342. Q2 10:01
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
  343. Q2 10:20
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  344. Q2 10:21
    Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
  345. Q2 10:21
    Jahmai Mashack misses two point jump shot
  346. Q2 10:25
    Lawson Lovering offensive rebound
  347. Q2 10:25
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  348. Q2 10:25
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  349. Q2 10:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 10:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  351. Q2 10:53
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  352. Q2 10:55
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  353. Q2 11:02
    Nuggets personal foul
  354. Q2 11:02
    Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
  355. Q2 11:08
    Lawson Lovering defensive rebound
  356. Q2 11:10
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  357. Q2 11:37
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  358. Q2 11:37
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    116-122
  359. Q2 11:38
    Lawson Lovering offensive rebound
  360. Q2 11:46
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 2:32
    +2
    Lawson Lovering makes two point jump shot
    116-122
  362. Q1 2:32
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  363. Q1 2:32
    Instant replay
  364. Q1 3:17
    Grizzlies personal foul
  365. Q1 3:17
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  366. Q1 3:17
    Stoppage (Other)
  367. Q1 3:17
    Grizzlies challenge timeout
  368. Q1 4:57
    Nuggets turnover
  369. Q1 11:01
    Grizzlies personal foul
Box Score
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -14
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +570, Nuggets -675

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 15%
  • Nuggets: 85%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 113-126 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 15%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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