Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Black Friday NBA matchup [11/28/2025]

The Denver Nuggets will square off with the San Antonio Spurs in NBA Cup Black Friday action at Ball Arena on Friday, commencing at 9:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Spurs will be led by De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell and Harrison Barnes.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Spurs and Nuggets.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 72% chance of defeating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 121-115.

According to our model, the Spurs (+6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Spurs vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Spurs	Nuggets
Spread	+6.5 (-108)	-6.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+245	-270
Total	o238.5 (-110)	u238.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Spurs +6.5	-108
Moneyline	Spurs	+245
Total	Under 238.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs +6.5 at the spread.

Spurs vs. Nuggets player props

Betting on Spurs vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 28 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
De'Aaron Fox	23	4	6	2	44
Devin Vassell	16	4	3	3	31
Harrison Barnes	15	4	2	3	28
Keldon Johnson	14	5	2	1	28
J. Champagnie	12	5	2	3	26

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	28	12	11	2	67
Jamal Murray	25	4	6	3	46
Cameron Johnson	17	4	4	3	34
Peyton Watson	13	6	2	2	29
Tim Hardaway	12	2	2	3	20

Spurs vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Nuggets and Spurs at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

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Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Black Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 67 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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