Kings vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [11/19/2025]

NBA action continues on Wednesday at 8:00PM ET as the Sacramento Kings face off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell, while the Kings will rely on DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Russell Westbrook.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Wednesday's clash between the Kings and Thunder.

According to our model, the Kings (+18.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Thunder odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Thunder
Spread	+18.5 (-105)	-18.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+1300	-2100
Total	o232.5 (-110)	u232.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +18.5	-105
Moneyline	Kings	+1300
Total	Under 232.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +18.5 at the spread.

Kings vs. Thunder player props

Looking for Kings vs. Thunder NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 30 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
DeMar DeRozan	19	4	4	1	33
Zach LaVine	19	4	3	3	32
R. Westbrook	15	6	6	2	37
Malik Monk	12	3	3	2	25
Dennis Schroder	11	3	5	1	26

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	4	7	2	53
Chet Holmgren	18	8	2	2	37
Ajay Mitchell	15	3	4	1	29
Isaiah Joe	12	3	2	3	23
I. Hartenstein	12	10	4	0	37

Kings vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Thunder and Kings at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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