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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Kangaroos favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers predictions for AFL Saturday.
The North Melbourne Kangaroos will take on the Richmond Tigers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 11:10 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Kangaroos as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Kangaroos game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kangaroos vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Tigers and Kangaroos, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Kangaroos a 74% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+26.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Richmond vs. North Melbourne odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Kangaroos |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +290 | -385 |
| Line (Spread) | +26.5 (-115) | -26.5 (-115) |
| Total | o182.5 (-115) | u182.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Kangaroos picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +26.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +290 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +26.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kangaroos vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Kangaroos and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:10 PM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Kangaroos, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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