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Aug 9, 2025
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Read Article Geelong Cats vs. Richmond Tigers Prediction: Cats Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 17 Matchup [7/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers matchup.
The Geelong Cats will face the Richmond Tigers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 2:15AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cats as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tigers vs. Cats predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL game between the Tigers and Cats 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cats a 99% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Tigers and Cats each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5- over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:22AM, Jul 5
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Richmond vs. Geelong Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Cats |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +1300 | -10000 |
| Line (Spread) | +59.5 (-115) | -59.5 (-115) |
| Total | o175.5 (-115) | u175.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Cats vs. Tigers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Cats and Tigers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:15AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Geelong Cats
- Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
- Time: 2:15AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: GMHBA Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Tigers vs. Cats matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Richmond vs. Geelong picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Cats, with a 99% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigers vs. Cats insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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