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Essendon Bombers vs. Richmond Tigers Prediction: Bombers Predicted to Win Friday's AFL Round 11 Matchup [5/23/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Friday's Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers matchup.

Essendon Bombers-Richmond Tigers Predictions and Game Preview.
Marvel Stadium sets the stage for the AFL matchup between the Essendon Bombers and Richmond Tigers this Friday.

AFL action continues on Friday at 5:40AM ET as the Richmond Tigers take on the Essendon Bombers at Marvel Stadium.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bombers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Richmond-Essendon game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Bombers' chance of winning is 80%, while the Tigers' is 20%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tigers vs. Bombers predictions page.

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Bombers vs. Tigers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 11 Game?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Tigers and Bombers 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Bombers an 80% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Tigers (+24.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 158.5 has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:00AM, May 22
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Tigers
Win %
20%
80%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Bombers
Tigers RIC
Win %
20%
80%
See Matchup
Bombers ESS
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Richmond vs. Essendon Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Tigers Bombers
H2H (Moneyline) +290 -417
Line (Spread) +24.5 (-115) -24.5 (-115)
Total o158.5 (-120) u158.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Bombers vs. Tigers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Australian rules football game between the Bombers and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:40AM ET.

  • Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers
  • Date: Friday, May 23, 2025
  • Time: 5:40AM ET/2:40AM PT
  • Venue: Marvel Stadium

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Tigers vs. Bombers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Richmond vs. Essendon picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Bombers, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigers vs. Bombers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on AFL

Keep up with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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