Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Villareal, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 38.0% chance of Rayo Vallecano winning, a 36.8% chance for Villareal, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Rayo Vallecano	Villareal	Draw
+145	+190	+255

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-145	+105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Villareal	+190
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+105

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Villareal to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
RAY 1-1 VIL	11.8%
RAY 1-0 VIL	8.5%
RAY 2-1 VIL	8.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 42.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between Rayo Vallecano and Villareal at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas is scheduled to commence in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Rayo Vallecano has a 38.0% win probability on Sunday, Villareal has a 36.8% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.