Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
2
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
S. Camello (28')
Soccer ball icon
Alemao (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Yellow Card
    U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Mumin replaces U. Lopez
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces P. Chavarria
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: L. Costa replaces W. Kambwala
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: C. Martin replaces Alemao
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces S. Camello
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Trejo
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces S. Comesana
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces T. Oluwaseyi
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  13. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by O. Trejo
    0-2
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces T. Buchanan
  15. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by A. Ratiu
    0-1

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -105, Villareal +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 43.7%
  • Villareal: 31.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villareal (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.7%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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