Prop Holliday CFB Betting Picks, Predictions and Parlay: Saturday, September 18, 2021

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College Football continues on Saturday September 18, 2021, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's College Football games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With College Football betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Saturday's College Football games by reading this article.

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Free CFB Picks For Saturday September 18, 2021

Alabama vs. Florida, Sat Sept 18, 3:30pm (EST)

BET: Total Points UNDER 59 with Caesars Sportsbook (-110)

With Alabama giving up 13.5PPG and Florida giving up 17PPG, I see this game being more about defense than flashy point totals both teams have put up through the first 2 weeks. What’s really telling for me is Florida’s offensive attack is based on running the ball; averaging 381.5 Rushing YPG. Unfortunately, that is not a recipe for success against a Bama defense only allowing 77.5 Rushing YPG. Florida QB Emory Jones has 4INT compared to his 2 passing touchdowns this season and that’s with playing FAU and USF. Defensively for Florida, they shut out FAU in the first half Week 1. The same FAU team who put up 38 points the following week. I think Alabama comes away with a double-digit victory on Saturday, but not until after we see a defensive battle from both sides. Line opened at 59.5 and has since dropped as sharp bettors continue to pile on the Under.

MORE: Alabama vs. Florida simulator

Florida State vs. Wake Forest, Sat Sept 18, 3:30pm (EST)

BET: FSU Moneyline with Caesars Sportsbook (+170)

Talk about a rough start for FSU. In Week 1, they had Notre Dame on the ropes, but ultimately fell in OT. That kind of loss stings and seemed to carry over the following week vs. Jacksonville State where they earned an embarrassing loss 20-17. I believe when you go toe to toe with a top ranked team like ND, it’s tough to bring that same energy to a lesser opponent the following week and the Jacksonville State loss is indicative of that. This week vs. 2-0 Wake Forest they have an opportunity to earn their first win of the season against a divisional opponent. Wake Forest is undefeated through the first two games, but with wins against Old Dominion and Norfolk State, should we really consider this record that impressive? Florida St. thrives with their ground attack, averaging 230 Rushing YPG while WF has given up 143 Rushing YPG against lesser opponents. I like Florida St. to get their first win of the season and dominate on the ground.

MORE: Florida State vs. Wake Forest simulator

Virginia vs. North Carolina, Sat Sept 18, 7:30pm (EST)

BET: Virginia +9 with Caesars Sportsbook (-110)

North Carolina bounced back nicely in Week 2 with a dominant 59-17-win vis Georgia St., but it’s always tough to gauge wins vs. lesser opponents. Virginia is 2-0 but has looked dominant in both wins vs Illinois and Williams & Mary. What intrigues me most about this game is the spread being as high as it is, ranging from 8.5-9 points depending on the book, I feel it’s far too high considering how well these teams stack up on paper. Virginia is allowing only 105 Rushing YPG on the ground, which can pose a threat to UNC whose leading rusher is Heisman hopeful Sam Howell. Howell’s career splits take a dip when facing conference opponents (CMP %, YPG, RTG, and INT’s). I expect this one to be much closer than the spread indicates and will ride with the Cavaliers +9.

MORE: Virginia vs. North Carolina simulator

Free NCAAF Parlay For Saturday, September 18, 2021

🔥 Alabama/Florida u59
🔥 Florida State ML
🔥 Virginia +9

Parlay Odds +884

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