May 20, 2026
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Read Article Fire vs. Fever prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [5/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Portland Fire vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Indiana Fever and Portland Fire are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Fever game.
The Fever, with star players such as Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Monique Billings, will face off against the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Luisa Geiselsoder and Bridget Carleton.
Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Fire and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 79% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 63% chance of staying under.
Fire vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-106) | -9.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +360 | -425 |
| Total | o175.5 (-110) | u175.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +9.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +360 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Fever player props
Looking for Fire vs. Fever WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 10 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 22 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fever.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| B. Carleton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| Emily Engstler | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Nyadiew Puoch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Aliyah Boston | 15 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35 |
| M. Billings | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 25 |
Fire vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Fever and Fire at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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