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Hawthorn Hawks vs. Port Adelaide Power prediction: Hawks favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Hawthorn Hawks will face the Port Adelaide Power in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Power vs. Hawks game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Power prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Power and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks an 88% chance of defeating the Power.
According to our model, the Power (+39.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 184.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Port Adelaide vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Power | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +550 | -909 |
| Line (Spread) | +39.5 (-115) | -39.5 (-115) |
| Total | o184.5 (-115) | u184.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Power vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Power +39.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -909 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Power +39.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Power game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Power at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Port Adelaide Power vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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