Steelers vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 12, 2025

The Chicago Bears will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 12 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Bears as the most likely winner of the Steelers vs. Bears game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Steelers vs. Bears prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Steelers-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Bears a 59% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 24-21.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Steelers and Bears each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 12 straight up picks.

Steelers vs. Bears odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Bears
Spread	+2.5 (-105)	-2.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+130	-142
Total	o46.5 (-112)	u46.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Bears picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Steelers +2.5	-105
Moneyline	Bears	-142
Total	Under 46.5	-105

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears to win.

Steelers vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Steelers vs. Bears?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime TD in Steelers vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 43.1% chance of scoring a TD at Soldier Field, while the running back is a 10.9% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	43.1%
DK Metcalf (WR)	41.1%
Jaylen Warren (RB)	39.2%
Roman Wilson (WR)	23.7%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	23.3%

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	43.1%
Rome Odunze (WR)	34.8%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	29.5%
DJ Moore (WR)	20.2%
Colston Loveland (TE)	20.0%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	8.2%
DK Metcalf (WR)	7.7%
Jaylen Warren (RB)	7.2%
Roman Wilson (WR)	3.9%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	3.8%

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	10.9%
Rome Odunze (WR)	8.3%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	6.8%
DJ Moore (WR)	4.4%
Colston Loveland (TE)	4.3%

Steelers vs Bears player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 12 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Mason Rudolph is projected for 222 passing yards, while the Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 226 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Mason Rudolph (PIT)	222
Caleb Williams (CHI)	226

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	66
Kenneth Gainwell	26
Mason Rudolph	9

Bears rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
D'Andre Swift	61
Kyle Monangai	35
Caleb Williams	25

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
DK Metcalf	54
Roman Wilson	28
Darnell Washington	25
Jonnu Smith	23
Pat Freiermuth	22

Bears receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Rome Odunze	58
Luther Burden	40
DJ Moore	39
Colston Loveland	32
Cole Kmet	21

Steelers vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 12 game between the Bears and Steelers at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 12 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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