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Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction: Minnesota Predicted to Win Tuesday's WNBA Matchup [6/3/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx matchup.

Phoenix Mercury-Minnesota Lynx Predictions and Game Preview.
Target Center sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx this Tuesday.

The Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Target Center on Tuesday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Phoenix-Minnesota game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Lynx with a win probability of 86%, compared to 14% for the Mercury."

The Lynx, powered by Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams, are set to take on the Mercury, who feature Satou Sabally, Monique Akoa-Makani and Kitija Laksa.

For expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Lynx predictions page.

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Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Lynx 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lynx an 86% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 67% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:04AM, Jun 4
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Mercury
Mercury +12.5
55%
45%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Lynx
Mercury PHX
Mercury +12.5
55%
45%
See Matchup
Lynx MIN
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mercury vs. Lynx Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Lynx
Spread +12.5 (-108) -12.5 (-105)
Moneyline +600 -850
Total o158.5 (-105) u158.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mercury vs. Lynx Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Lynx matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Mercury vs. Lynx Player Props

WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Tuesday's Phoenix vs. Minnesota game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Napheesa Collier is projected to be the top scorer for the Lynx.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game
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Mercury vs. Lynx Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's action between the Lynx and Mercury at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Tuesday's Mercury vs. Lynx matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phoenix vs. Minnesota picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Lynx insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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