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Mercury vs. Aces Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Sunday's WNBA Game [6/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces matchup.
The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday, starting at 6:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Phoenix-Las Vegas game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mercury with a win probability of 73%, while the Aces have 27%."
The Aces, with stars such as Jackie Young, Jewell Loyd and Chelsea Gray, are set to take on the Mercury, who feature Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas.
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Aces predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Aces vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Aces 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 73% chance of defeating the Aces.
According to our model, the Mercury (-4.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:01PM, Jun 15
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mercury vs. Aces Odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -185 | +165 |
| Total | o164.5 (-110) | u164.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mercury vs. Aces Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Aces matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Mercury-Aces Pick Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Aces Player Props
Betting on Mercury vs. Aces WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury with 17 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jackie Young is projected to have 17 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Aces.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Aces Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's matchup between the Aces and Mercury at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Mercury vs. Aces matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Phoenix vs. Las Vegas picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Aces on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Aces insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on WNBA
Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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