Philadelphia Union vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/1/2026]

Philadelphia will square off with NY City in MLS action at Subaru Park on Sunday, commencing at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Philadelphia vs. NY City game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and NY City 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 53.4% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 22.9% chance for NY City, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Philadelphia Union vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between Philadelphia and NY City in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to begin at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. New York City
• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

World Cup 2026 watch: Indiana Vassilev (USA)

Philadelphia attacking midfielder Indiana Vassilev is on the radar for USMNT fans as interest ramps up as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Vassilev's MLS form will be monitored closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 53.4% win probability on Sunday, NY City has a 22.9% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Philadelphia vs. NY City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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