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MLS
NY City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Philadelphia MLS match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
2
1
Mar 1, 4:30 PM ET Subaru Park
Mar 1, 4:30 PM ET Subaru Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
I. Vassilev (pen.) (89')
O. Makhanya (90')
H. Wolf (36')
T. Gray (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Philadelphia
- NY City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces N. Mercau
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: G. Martinez replaces I. Vassilev
J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for New York City by T. Gray
2-1
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev (pen.)
1-1
Substitution for New York City: D. Baiera replaces H. Wolf
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces M. Iloski
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Olivas replaces B. Damiani
Substitution for New York City: K. Trewin replaces A. O'Neill
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces F. Westfield
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces A. Anello
A. O'Neill (New York City) cautioned
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
1-0
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
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NY City vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: NY City vs. Philadelphia
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Venue: Subaru Park
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: NY City +240, Philadelphia +120, draw +235
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-118)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- NY City: 22.9%
- Philadelphia: 53.4%
- Draw: 23.7%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Philadelphia (11.2%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win NY City vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score
Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.4%.
The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Philadelphia.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on NY City vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
