NY City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for NY City vs. Philadelphia in the World Cup on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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NY City
2
1
Mar 1, 9:30PM Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Mar 1, 9:30PM Subaru Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
I. Vassilev (pen.) (89')
Soccer ball icon
O. Makhanya (90')
Red Card icon
H. Wolf (36')
Soccer ball icon
T. Gray (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces N. Mercau
90'
Red Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: G. Martinez replaces I. Vassilev
90'
Yellow Card
J. Sery Larsen (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by T. Gray
2-1
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev (pen.)
1-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: D. Baiera replaces H. Wolf
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces M. Iloski
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Olivas replaces B. Damiani
83'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: K. Trewin replaces A. O'Neill
74'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces M. Moralez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces F. Westfield
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces A. Anello
39'
Yellow Card
A. O'Neill (New York City) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
1-0
23'
Yellow Card
O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned

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NY City vs. Philadelphia: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' NY City vs. Philadelphia prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +240, Philadelphia +120, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY City: 22.9%
  • Philadelphia: 53.4%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is NY City 1-1 Philadelphia.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.4%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' NY City vs. Philadelphia prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.