Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/7/2025]

NBA action continues on Sunday at 8:00PM ET as the Oklahoma City Thunder square off with the Utah Jazz at Delta Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Jazz game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature stars like Keyonte George, Ace Bailey and Kyle Filipowski, while the Thunder will be led by Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder an 81% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-111.

According to our model, the Jazz (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Jazz odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Jazz
Spread	-11.5 (-110)	+11.5 (-102)
Moneyline	-590	+440
Total	o233.5 (-110)	u233.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Jazz picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +11.5	-102
Moneyline	Jazz	+440
Total	Under 233.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +11.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Jazz player props

Betting on Oklahoma City vs. Utah NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.

Jalen Williams is expected to lead the Thunder with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists, while Keyonte George is projected to have 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Jazz.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Williams	23	6	6	2	45
Chet Holmgren	19	9	2	2	40
Ajay Mitchell	18	4	5	2	37
Aaron Wiggins	15	4	2	2	28
Cason Wallace	10	4	3	2	27

Jazz prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Keyonte George	21	4	6	3	39
Ace Bailey	13	5	2	2	27
Kyle Filipowski	13	8	3	2	31
B. Sensabaugh	12	3	1	3	23
Jusuf Nurkic	10	9	4	1	32

Thunder vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Jazz and Thunder at Delta Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Sunday, with Jalen Williams projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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