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Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Utah Jazz and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Delta Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Jazz game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature stars like Keyonte George, Ace Bailey and Kyle Filipowski, while the Thunder will rely on Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder an 81% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-111.
According to our model, the Jazz (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Thunder vs. Jazz odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -11.5 (-108) | +11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -550 | +425 |
| Total | o233.5 (-108) | u233.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Jazz picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +425 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +11.5 at the spread.
Thunder vs. Jazz player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. Utah matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.
Jalen Williams is expected to lead the Thunder with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists, while Keyonte George is projected to have 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Jazz.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams | 23 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 45 |
| Chet Holmgren | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 40 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 37 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Cason Wallace | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Jazz prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 21 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 39 |
| Ace Bailey | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
Thunder vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Jazz and Thunder at Delta Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Delta Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Sunday, with Jalen Williams projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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