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Thunder vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Jazz NBA game on December 7, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
131
101
Dec 8, 1AM Delta Center
Dec 8, 1AM Delta Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 45 | 29 | 32 | 25 | 131 |
Jazz | 20 | 28 | 23 | 30 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 45 | 29 | 32 | 25 | 131 |
Jazz | 20 | 28 | 23 | 30 | 101 |
Q4 00:29 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder turnover
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
131-100
Thunder personal foul
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
131-101
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
131-98
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
128-98
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
128-96
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
126-96
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
126-93
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
126-91
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
125-89
Jazz personal foul
+1
Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-89
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
123-89
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-89
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams)
Thunder violation
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
120-88
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Branden Carlson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Branden Carlson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
120-86
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
120-84
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
120-82
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
117-82
Thunder personal foul
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
117-79
Thunder personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-80
Thunder personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk, Cody Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
117-77
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
115-77
Thunder turnover
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
Walter Clayton Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
115-75
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
115-73
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
112-73
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
109-73
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
109-71
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-71
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-71
Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
104-70
Kyle Filipowski turnover
Kenrich Williams turnover
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
102-70
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-67
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
99-67
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-65
Jazz turnover
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-65
Jazz personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
96-65
Jazz turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-65
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-65
Jazz turnover
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kevin Love)
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-65
Thunder personal foul
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-64
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-65
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-63
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
87-63
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-60
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-60
Jazz turnover
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
83-60
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-58
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
81-58
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jusuf Nurkic turnover
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Loose ball)
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-56
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
79-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
79-54
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-54
Jaylin Williams turnover (bad pass)
Jusuf Nurkic turnover
Svi Mykhailiuk turnover (bad pass)
Jazz personal foul
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
74-54
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Other)
Jazz personal foul
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
74-51
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
End of 1st Half.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Jazz turnover
Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Aaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jazz turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-48
Jazz personal foul
Jazz personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes technical free throw 1 of 1
71-48
+1
Jalen Williams makes technical free throw 1 of 1
72-48
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Jazz turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-48
Jazz turnover
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
68-48
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
+3
Taylor Hendricks makes three point jump shot
66-48
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
66-45
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
63-45
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Branden Carlson misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
63-42
Jazz defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Branden Carlson personal foul
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
63-40
Jazz personal foul
Jazz 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-37
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-37
Jazz turnover
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-37
Jazz personal foul
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Thunder personal foul
Jazz violation
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-36
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-37
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams)
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-35
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-35
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Jazz turnover
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-35
Jazz personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
53-35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-32
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point jump shot
51-32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-30
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-30
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
47-30
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
47-28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-25
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
45-25
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
45-22
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-20
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
43-20
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
43-18
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-16
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
40-16
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-16
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
34-16
Jazz 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-13
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-13
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-13
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
25-13
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
25-11
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
22-11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-9
Jazz turnover
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-9
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
18-9
Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk, Isaiah Collier)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
18-7
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
15-7
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-5
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point driving floating jump shot
13-5
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Ace Bailey draws the foul)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
13-3
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Ajay Mitchell makes three point running jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
13-1
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point running layup (Jaylin Williams assists)
10-1
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Ace Bailey turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Ace Bailey misses two point jump shot
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
8-1
Thunder defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Jusuf Nurkic's two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)
5-1
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses two point driving layup
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Ajay Mitchell assists)
3-1
+1
Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jusuf Nurkic misses two point turnaround bank hook shot
Cason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Filipowski steals)
Jusuf Nurkic turnover (double dribble)
Cason Wallace misses two point stepback jump shot
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Chet Holmgren vs. Jusuf Nurkic (Jaylin Williams gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thunder vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Jazz
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -560, Jazz +460
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 81%
- Jazz: 19%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 121-111 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 81%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 19%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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