Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Friday's NBA Cup matchup [11/21/2025]

The Utah Jazz will face the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA Cup action at Delta Center on Friday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Jazz game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature stars like Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Ace Bailey, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Thunder and Jazz.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 88% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 123-109.

According to our model, the Jazz (+16.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Jazz odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Jazz
Spread	-16.5 (-110)	+16.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-1600	+900
Total	o234.5 (-105)	u234.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Jazz picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +16.5	-105
Moneyline	Jazz	+900
Total	Under 234.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +16.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Jazz player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Oklahoma City vs. Utah game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists, while Lauri Markkanen is projected to have 24 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Jazz.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	5	8	2	57
Chet Holmgren	18	8	2	2	39
Ajay Mitchell	15	4	4	1	31
Isaiah Joe	13	3	2	3	23
I. Hartenstein	12	10	3	0	34

Jazz prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Lauri Markkanen	24	6	2	4	40
Keyonte George	18	4	6	2	36
Ace Bailey	11	4	2	2	23
Jusuf Nurkic	10	9	3	1	32
Svi Mykhailiuk	10	3	2	2	20

Thunder vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Jazz and Thunder at Delta Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Friday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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