Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Oklahoma City is favored to win Sunday's NBA game [11/30/2025]

The Portland Trail Blazers will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Moda Center on Sunday, starting at 6:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature stars like Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Jerami Grant, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Thunder and Trail Blazers.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder an 80% chance of beating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-111.

According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 234.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Trail Blazers
Spread	-11.5 (-110)	+11.5 (-108)
Moneyline	-620	+490
Total	o234.5 (-110)	u234.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Trail Blazers +11.5	-108
Moneyline	Trail Blazers	+490
Total	Under 234.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers +11.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers player props

Betting on Oklahoma City vs. Portland NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 23 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	5	7	2	54
Jalen Williams	18	5	5	1	36
Chet Holmgren	17	8	2	2	36
Ajay Mitchell	12	3	3	1	25
Isaiah Joe	10	3	1	2	19

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	23	8	5	3	46
Shaedon Sharpe	17	4	2	2	30
Jerami Grant	17	4	3	3	30
Toumani Camara	13	5	3	2	29
Sidy Cissoko	8	3	2	1	16

Thunder vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Trail Blazers and Thunder at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers
• Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Trail Blazers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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