Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Oklahoma City is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [11/9/2025]

The Memphis Grizzlies will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at FedExForum on Sunday, commencing at 6:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Grizzlies game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Cedric Coward, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Thunder and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 79% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-110.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +10.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 30 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Ja Morant is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Grizzlies.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Grizzlies prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:

Thunder vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Grizzlies and Thunder at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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