...
...
Read Article
- Predictions
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA game on November 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Loading...
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
114
100
Nov 9, 11PM FedExForum
Nov 9, 11PM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 25 | 26 | 34 | 29 | 114 |
Grizzlies | 33 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 25 | 26 | 34 | 29 | 114 |
Grizzlies | 33 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 100 |
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:05 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, PJ Hall, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-100
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-99
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ousmane Dieng, Brooks Barnhizer, Ajay Mitchell, Chris Youngblood)
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
114-98
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-98
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-98
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-98
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cam Spencer, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-98
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
108-98
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
107-96
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
108-96
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
Jock Landale offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
105-96
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
105-94
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
102-94
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
99-94
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-92
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-92
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Thunder personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cam Spencer, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
95-92
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-91
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-91
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Cam Spencer, Santi Aldama)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-91
Thunder personal foul
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-90
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-91
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-89
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
89-88
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
89-89
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cam Spencer, Santi Aldama)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-86
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
87-86
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies turnover
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
87-83
Thunder violation
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-80
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Ja Morant)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-80
Thunder personal foul
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-79
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-80
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Ja Morant)
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-78
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-78
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-78
Grizzlies turnover
Thunder personal foul
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Thunder defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-78
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Ja Morant)
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-78
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
76-78
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot
76-76
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
72-76
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
73-76
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-76
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
69-76
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
69-73
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr., Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-70
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-70
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
65-70
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-67
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-67
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
63-67
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant)
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-67
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-67
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jump ball. (Isaiah Hartenstein gains possession)
Ja Morant shooting foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | A. Caruso | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 25 | A. Mitchell | 21 | 4 | 4 |
| F | 7 | C. Holmgren | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 7 | S. Aldama | 10 | 8 | 4 |
| F | 8 | J. Jackson Jr. | 15 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 23 | C. Coward | 11 | 9 | 4 |
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 5 | V. Williams Jr. | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -460, Grizzlies +400
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 79%
- Grizzlies: 21%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 120-110 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 79%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 21%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article