Thunder vs. Mavericks prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [10/27/2025]

The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Monday, with tipoff at 8:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Mavericks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington and Cooper Flagg, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Aaron Wiggins.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Thunder and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 75% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-109.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 225.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Thunder vs. Mavericks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Mavericks picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +8.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Mavericks player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on Monday's Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Anthony Davis is projected to have 25 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mavericks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Mavericks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:

Thunder vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Mavericks and Thunder at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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