Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA game on October 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Thunder
101
94
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 28 | 46 | 23 | 0 | 101 |
Mavericks | 24 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 94 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Thunder
- Mavericks
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 28 | 46 | 23 | 0 | 101 |
Mavericks | 24 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 94 |
Q4 00:14 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:01 D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Chet Holmgren blocks Mavericks heave shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- End of 4th Quarter.
- +1Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Naji Marshall personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks challenge timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- Thunder personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall)
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 197-94
- Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)
- Jaden Hardy personal foul
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
- D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Jaden Hardy personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
- +2Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point jump shot97-94
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)97-94
- Thunder turnover
- Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- +3Max Christie makes three point jump shot97-94
- Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
- Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- +2Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot97-94
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
- Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
- Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- Max Christie personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
- Cason Wallace personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
- Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
- Thunder turnover
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Ajay Mitchell personal foul
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- +1Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 197-94
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Aaron Wiggins misses two point driving layup
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Aaron Wiggins personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis)
- +2Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point cutting dunk (Chet Holmgren assists)97-94
- Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point running pullup jump shot
- Ajay Mitchell turnover (Cooper Flagg steals)
- Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Klay Thompson turnover
- Chet Holmgren personal foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
- Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- Jaylin Williams turnover
- D'Angelo Russell turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- D'Angelo Russell personal foul
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 197-94
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Mavericks personal foul
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Anthony Davis personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- D'Angelo Russell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot72-58
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- Mavericks violation
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren blocks P.J. Washington's two point driving floating jump shot
- +2Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot97-94
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Max Christie personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot97-94
- +2Klay Thompson makes two point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)97-94
- Jump ball. Anthony Davis (Max Christie gains possession)
- Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Max Christie's two point driving layup
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder personal foul
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot97-94
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 297-94
- +1Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 297-94
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot97-94
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot97-94
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-44
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Cason Wallace offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Anthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot50-44
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis)
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- D'Angelo Russell misses three point pullup jump shot
- Chet Holmgren misses two point running finger roll layup
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
- Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
- D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot74-59
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 372-59
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 372-59
- Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- +1Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 3 of 372-59
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot46-39
- Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot72-59
- Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Brooks Barnhizer)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Anthony Davis, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot72-59
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point cutting layup
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Aaron Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot72-59
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot72-59
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot72-59
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Anthony Davis offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot72-59
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot72-59
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Anthony Davis defensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall)
- Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks personal foul
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Chet Holmgren turnover (Cooper Flagg steals)
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-44
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point layup36-30
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot50-44
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Klay Thompson defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 250-44
- +1Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 250-44
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-42
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Davis)
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Chet Holmgren blocks Naji Marshall's two point jump shot
- Thunder violation
- Naji Marshall offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-42
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot48-42
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-42
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point layup
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- Ajay Mitchell turnover (out of bounds step)
- Caleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Ajay Mitchell steals)
- Caleb Martin defensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Mavericks
- Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -360, Mavericks +310
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 75%
- Mavericks: 25%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 117-109 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 75%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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