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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 16 Matchup [6/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos matchup.
The Hawthorn Hawks and North Melbourne Kangaroos will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:15AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's North Melbourne-Hawthorn game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Hawks are more likely to win, while the Kangaroos have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Kangaroos vs. Hawks predictions page.
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Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Kangaroos and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks an 83% chance of beating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+31.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5- over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 4:18AM, Jun 28
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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North Melbourne vs. Hawthorn Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +450 | -714 |
| Line (Spread) | +31.5 (-115) | -31.5 (-115) |
| Total | o157.5 (-115) | u157.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Hawks vs. Kangaroos Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Kangaroos at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:15AM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
- Time: 2:15AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Kangaroos vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any North Melbourne vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kangaroos vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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