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Essendon Bombers vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Why Kangaroos are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 3 matchup [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Essendon Bombers will take on the favored North Melbourne Kangaroos in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:35 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Kangaroos as the most likely winner of the Kangaroos vs. Bombers game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bombers vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Kangaroos and Bombers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Kangaroos a 67% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+15.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
North Melbourne vs. Essendon odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -238 | +185 |
| Line (Spread) | -15.5 (-115) | +15.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kangaroos vs. Bombers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +15.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bombers | +185 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bombers vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Bombers and Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35 AM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Essendon Bombers
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 4:35 AM ET/1:35AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Kangaroos, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kangaroos vs. Bombers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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