NHL player props today: Sunday's best props include Adam Erne [12/21/2025]

Adam Erne anytime goal scorer (+1000)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 20.5%
• Game: Maple Leafs vs. Stars (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Dallas' Adam Erne scoring a goal. A probability of 20.5% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at +1000 odds.

Aliaksei Protas to score a point (+140)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Game: Capitals vs. Red Wings (1:00PM ET)

Aliaksei Protas’s a point prop shows a 51.1% probability and an 9.4% edge at +140 odds, according to our model.

Aliaksei Protas anytime goal scorer (+380)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 28.4%
• Game: Capitals vs. Red Wings (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Aliaksei Protas anytime goal scorer, with simulations showing a 28.4% probability and a 7.5% edge at +380.

Noah Dobson to record an assist (+220)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 38.1%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Noah Dobson to record an assist, with a 38.1% probability and an edge of 6.8% at +220 odds.

Noah Dobson to score a point (+155)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Noah Dobson to score a point for Montreal, showing an edge of 6.7% at +155 odds.

Morgan Geekie anytime goal scorer (+170)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 43.1%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:00PM ET)

Morgan Geekie’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 6.1% at +170 odds, supported by a 43.1% probability according to our model.

Martin Necas over 2.5 shots on goal (+140)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (6:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Martin Necas over 2.5 shots on goal for Colorado, with a 47.8% probability and a 6.1% edge at +140 odds.

Ivan Demidov anytime goal scorer (+330)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 28.7%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Ivan Demidov anytime goal scorer, supported by a 28.7% probability at +330 odds and an edge of 5.5%.

Aliaksei Protas to record an assist (+270)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 32.5%
• Game: Capitals vs. Red Wings (1:00PM ET)

A 5.5% edge on the assist line makes Aliaksei Protas a value play in Capitals vs. Red Wings, supported by a 32.5% probability at +270 odds.

Danila Yurov anytime goal scorer (+625)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 19.1%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (6:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Danila Yurov anytime goal scorer here, with a 19.1% probability and 5.3% edge at +625 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Sunday, December 21, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:41AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Maple Leafs vs. Stars	Adam Erne anytime goal scorer	+1000 @ FanDuel	11.4%	20.5%
Capitals vs. Red Wings	Aliaksei Protas to score a point	+140 @ DraftKings	9.4%	51.1%
Capitals vs. Red Wings	Aliaksei Protas anytime goal scorer	+380 @ FanDuel	6.8%	38.1%
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Noah Dobson to record an assist	+220 @ DraftKings	6.8%	38.1%
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Noah Dobson to score a point	+155 @ DraftKings	6.7%	45.9%
Senators vs. Bruins	Morgan Geekie anytime goal scorer	+170 @ FanDuel	6.1%	43.1%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Martin Necas over 2.5 shots on goal	+140 @ DraftKings	6.1%	47.8%
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Ivan Demidov anytime goal scorer	+330 @ DraftKings	5.5%	28.7%
Capitals vs. Red Wings	Aliaksei Protas to record an assist	+270 @ DraftKings	5.5%	32.5%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Danila Yurov anytime goal scorer	+625 @ FanDuel	5.3%	19.1%

Conclusion

For December 21, 2025, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Adam Erne, Aliaksei Protas and Noah Dobson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.