May 15, 2026
Red Sox vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/15/2026]
Read Article Yankees vs. Mets prediction: Yankees favored to win Friday's Subway Series matchup [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Yankees vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Friday.
MLB action continues on Friday at 7:15 PM ET as the New York Yankees lock horns with the New York Mets at Citi Field.
The Mets will send Clay Holmes (4-3, 1.86 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Cam Schlittler (5-1, 1.35 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Yankees vs. Mets game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 55% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.
Yankees vs. Mets odds [5/15/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+119) | +1.5 (-138) |
| Moneyline | -154 | +135 |
| Total | o7 (-115) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -138 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +135 |
| Total | Over 7 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Yankees at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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