Jun 1, 2026
MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Giants vs. Brewers play [6/1/2026]
Read Article Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Baltimore Orioles will square off with the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday, commencing at 6:35 PM ET.
The Orioles will send Trevor Rogers (2-3, 4.75 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Will Warren (4-1, 3.46 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Orioles.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Yankees vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Yankees and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 54% chance of beating the Orioles.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Yankees vs. Orioles odds [5/12/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+116) | +1.5 (-135) |
| Moneyline | -138 | +119 |
| Total | o8.5 (-115) | u8.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Orioles +1.5 | -135 |
| Moneyline | Orioles | +119 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -115 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to begin at 6:35 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET/3:35PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
