Jun 1, 2026
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Read Article Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Monday.
The Seattle Mariners will face the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at T-Mobile Park on Monday, beginning at 9:40 PM ET.
Emerson Hancock (4-2, 2.78 ERA) will start for the Mariners, up against Austin Warren (1-1, 1.40 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Mets vs. Mariners matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Mariners, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 53% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Mariners odds [6/1/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+168) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -132 |
| Total | o7 (-122) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Mariners picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +114 |
| Total | Over 7 | -122 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Mariners and Mets at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to commence at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date: Monday, June 1, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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