Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 4-1, 3.46 ERA
6
2
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Trevor Rogers 2-3, 4.75 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 2
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jeremiah Jackson flies out to right field to Aaron Judge.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4121111.5001.850
2 A. Judge RF3120020.6671.467
3 B. Rice DH4010011.2500.650
4 C. Bellinger LF4101000.0000.000
5 J. Chisholm 2B1000000.0000.000
6 T. Grisham CF3113110.3331.833
7 R. McMahon 3B4000002.0000.000
8 M. Schuemann SS3010011.3330.833
9 A. Wells C4110002.2500.500
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Henderson SS4000000.0000.000
2 T. Ward LF4120001.5001.250
3 A. Rutschman C4000000.0000.000
4 P. Alonso 1B4010002.2500.500
5 S. Basallo DH4121000.5001.250
6 T. O'Neill RF4011001.2500.750
7 C. Cowser CF4000002.0000.000
8 L. Taveras PH1000000.0000.000
9 J. Jackson 2B4000001.0000.000

Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Orioles
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 56¢, Orioles 44¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 54%
  • Orioles: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 54%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.