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Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Coors Field on Tuesday, starting at 8:40 PM ET.
Michael Lorenzen (2-3, 6.09 ERA) will start for the Rockies, while the Mets have opted for Freddy Peralta (1-3, 3.52 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Rockies game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 61% chance of defeating the Rockies.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Mets and Rockies each have a 50% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Rockies odds [5/5/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-111) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +140 |
| Total | o9.5 (-108) | u9.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -160 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | -108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Mets at Coors Field is scheduled to start at 8:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
- Time: 8:40 PM ET/5:40PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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