NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Stephon Castle [2/25/2026]

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on San Antonio's Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals. A probability of 45.5% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at +194 odds.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 47.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Warriors vs. Grizzlies (7:30PM ET)

Brandin Podziemski’s steals prop shows an 11.0% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jaylin Williams over 1.5 blocks (+165)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jaylin Williams over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 48.0% probability and a 10.3% edge at +165.

Derrick White over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Celtics vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Derrick White to record 1.3 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.2% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Al Horford over 1.5 blocks (+160)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Warriors vs. Grizzlies (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Al Horford over 1.5 blocks for Golden State, showing an edge of 9.6% at +160 odds.

James Harden over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

James Harden’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.4% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects De'Aaron Fox for 1.2 steals for San Antonio, creating an edge of 9.1% on over 1.5 at +174 odds.

Jaylen Brown over 5.5 assists (+140)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 50.5%
• Projection: 5.6
• Game: Celtics vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jaylen Brown for 5.6 assists, creating value on the over 5.5 line at +140 odds and a 8.8% edge.

Jamal Murray under 0.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 43.9%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Celtics vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

A 7.9% edge on the under 5.5 steals line makes Jamal Murray a value play in Celtics vs. Nuggets, with our model projecting him for 1.0 steals at +178 odds.

Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks (+145)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Kings vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Keegan Murray for 1.3 blocks here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 1.5 line at +145 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, February 25, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:58PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Spurs vs. Raptors	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.4%	45.5%
Warriors vs. Grizzlies	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	11.0%	47.0%
Thunder vs. Pistons	Jaylin Williams over 1.5 blocks	+165 @ BetMGM	10.2%	48.3%
Celtics vs. Nuggets	Derrick White over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	10.2%	48.3%
Warriors vs. Grizzlies	Al Horford over 1.5 blocks	+160 @ BetMGM	9.6%	48.1%
Cavaliers vs. Bucks	James Harden over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.4%	45.4%
Spurs vs. Raptors	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+174 @ DraftKings	9.1%	45.6%
Celtics vs. Nuggets	Jaylen Brown over 5.5 assists	+140 @ BetMGM	8.8%	50.5%
Celtics vs. Nuggets	Jamal Murray under 5.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	7.9%	43.9%
Kings vs. Rockets	Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks	+145 @ BetMGM	7.3%	48.1%

Conclusion

For February 25, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Stephon Castle, Brandin Podziemski and Jaylin Williams. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.