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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
133
112
Feb 26, 12:30AM FedExForum
Feb 26, 12:30AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 34 | 40 | 27 | 32 | 133 |
Grizzlies | 31 | 22 | 27 | 32 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 34 | 40 | 27 | 32 | 133 |
Grizzlies | 31 | 22 | 27 | 32 | 112 |
Q4 00:25 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Javon Small makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Will Richard makes two point running dunk (Will Richard assists)
Q4 2:22 Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
Q4 2:52 Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:53 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Warriors turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
133-112
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Javon Small offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
133-112
Warriors personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
133-112
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
133-112
Warriors turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
+3
Javon Small makes three point jump shot
133-112
+2
Will Richard makes two point running dunk (Will Richard assists)
133-112
Jaylen Wells turnover
+2
Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
133-112
Walter Clayton Jr. turnover (Pat Spencer steals)
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Rayan Rupert personal foul (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Malevy Leons shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
133-112
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jaylen Wells misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
133-112
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Warriors personal foul
Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
125-103
Gary Payton II personal foul
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
125-99
Will Richard shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
125-100
Pat Spencer personal foul
Pat Spencer turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
125-97
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Quinten Post makes two point hook shot (Gary Payton II assists)
125-100
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
133-112
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Gary Payton II makes three point jump shot (Gui Santos assists)
123-91
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot
133-112
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
+2
Will Richard makes two point jump shot
125-100
Grizzlies turnover
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Malevy Leons turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
125-100
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
125-100
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
133-112
Will Richard personal foul
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-100
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-88
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-88
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-88
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-88
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
118-88
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-88
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-88
Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-80
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-88
+2
Ty Jerome makes two point driving finger roll layup
101-80
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
101-80
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
101-80
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
101-80
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
101-80
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Grizzlies offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-80
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-72
Walter Clayton Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-80
Warriors misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson personal foul
GG Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors personal foul
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
GG Jackson turnover (lost ball)
Warriors challenge timeout
Rayan Rupert shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-72
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-73
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Will Richard makes two point jump shot
93-72
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Gui Santos makes two point jump shot
94-72
Will Richard offensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes two point jump shot
94-72
Warriors turnover
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
Rayan Rupert offensive rebound
Walter Clayton Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-70
Will Richard offensive rebound
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Rayan Rupert misses two point running layup
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
86-70
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Gui Santos steals)
+2
Gui Santos makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Will Richard assists)
86-70
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-70
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
Warriors personal foul
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Rayan Rupert misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody personal foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-68
Javon Small defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
82-66
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
82-63
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
79-63
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
79-60
Grizzlies turnover
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
76-60
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
76-58
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
74-58
Warriors personal foul
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
74-56
Grizzlies violation
GG Jackson defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
74-53
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 3
72-50
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 3
73-50
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Al Horford, Will Richard)
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 3 of 3
74-50
Al Horford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
71-50
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
68-50
Brandin Podziemski turnover
+3
GG Jackson makes three point jump shot
68-48
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-45
Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
68-44
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
65-44
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
65-41
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-39
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
61-39
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
Grizzlies turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
59-39
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
56-39
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
53-39
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Grizzlies turnover
Warriors turnover
GG Jackson offensive rebound
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot
50-39
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-37
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Taylor Hendricks)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
50-37
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
47-37
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
47-35
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
44-35
Warriors personal foul
Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-33
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
42-33
Al Horford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
39-33
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses two point driving layup
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-32
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-33
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
36-31
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
34-31
End of 1st Quarter.
Instant replay
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Malevy Leons, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
34-28
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
32-28
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-25
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-25
Rayan Rupert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Walter Clayton Jr., Rayan Rupert)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
30-24
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-24
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
25-24
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-22
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
23-21
Warriors personal foul
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-22
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-19
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-19
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-17
Grizzlies personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
+1
Gui Santos makes technical free throw 1 of 1
18-17
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
17-17
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot
17-15
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
17-12
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
14-12
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
14-10
Al Horford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
9-9
Warriors personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-10
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-7
Grizzlies turnover
Javon Small defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Brandin Podziemski turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
7-7
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-4
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
7-3
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
4-3
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
4-0
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Al Horford violation
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-0
Start of 1st Quarter
Al Horford vs. Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 21 | 5 | 6 |
| F | 33 | M. Leons | 9 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 19 | 5 | 4 |
| C | 21 | Q. Post | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | T. Hendricks | 14 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 0 | J. Wells | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 24 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 10 | J. Small | 16 | 6 | 4 |
| G-F | 32 | R. Rupert | 8 | 3 | 1 |
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -178, Grizzlies +152
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 62%
- Grizzlies: 38%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 62%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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