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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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1st 5:02
NBA
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NBA
Warriors
28
:
24
Feb 26, 12:30AM FedExForum
Grizzlies
Feb 26, 12:30AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Warriors
28 0 0 0 28
Grizzlies
24 0 0 0 24
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
WarriorsGSW
Win %
65%
35%
GrizzliesMEM
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 0 0 0 28
Grizzlies
24 0 0 0 24
Q1 2:29 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:38 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:50 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q1 3:06 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:15 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:26 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q1 3:44 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q1 4:00 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q1 4:12 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q1 4:29 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q1 2:28
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Q1 2:28
Warriors personal foul
Q1 2:28
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 2:28
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 2:29
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:34
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Q1 2:38
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:50
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-24
Q1 3:01
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 3:06
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:11
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q1 3:15
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:26
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
25-24
Q1 3:44
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-22
Q1 4:00
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
23-21
Q1 4:00
Warriors personal foul
Q1 4:00
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-22
Q1 4:12
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-19
Q1 4:29
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-19
Q1 4:50
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-17
Q1 5:02
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 5:02
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Q1 5:02
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
Q1 5:02
+1
Gui Santos makes technical free throw 1 of 1
18-17
Q1 5:02
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Rayan Rupert)
Q1 5:02
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Will Richard)
Q1 5:22
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
17-17
Q1 5:37
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:37
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q1 5:37
Warriors personal foul
Q1 5:37
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard)
Q1 5:37
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
Q1 5:38
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 5:45
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:49
Warriors turnover
Q1 6:09
+3
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot
17-15
Q1 6:13
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 6:17
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:28
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
17-12
Q1 6:29
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q1 6:29
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Q1 6:29
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Q1 6:30
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Q1 6:33
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:45
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
14-12
Q1 6:57
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
14-10
Q1 7:11
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 7:15
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:27
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-10
Q1 7:50
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
9-9
Q1 7:50
Warriors personal foul
Q1 7:50
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Ty Jerome, Taylor Hendricks, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert)
Q1 7:50
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-10
Q1 8:08
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-7
Q1 8:11
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 8:22
Javon Small defensive rebound
Q1 8:25
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:34
Warriors personal foul
Q1 8:34
Brandin Podziemski turnover
Q1 8:45
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
7-7
Q1 8:50
Warriors turnover
Q1 9:03
Warriors personal foul
Q1 9:03
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-4
Q1 9:03
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Q1 9:03
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
Q1 9:22
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
7-3
Q1 9:34
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 9:38
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:44
Javon Small defensive rebound
Q1 9:47
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:58
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 10:01
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:05
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Q1 10:07
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:39
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
4-3
Q1 10:41
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Q1 10:43
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:57
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
4-0
Q1 11:20
Warriors defensive rebound
Q1 11:20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 11:21
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:26
Al Horford violation
Q1 11:41
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Al Horford vs. Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Ty Jerome, GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells)
Q1 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Warriors
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F33 M. Leons 2 3 0
G3 W. Richard 6 0 0
G2 B. Podziemski 3 2 1
F15 G. Santos 3 2 2
C21 Q. Post 5 1 0
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F22 T. Hendricks 5 2 0
G1 S. Pippen Jr. 5 1 0
G4 W. Clayton Jr. 0 0 1
G24 C. Spencer 0 0 1
G-F32 R. Rupert 3 0 1

Game Prediction Article

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Warriors vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors -178, Grizzlies +152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 62%
  • Grizzlies: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 62%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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