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Thunder vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Pistons NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
124
Feb 26, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
Feb 26, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 34 | 18 | 28 | 36 | 116 |
Pistons | 22 | 36 | 36 | 30 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
17%
83%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 34 | 18 | 28 | 36 | 116 |
Pistons | 22 | 36 | 36 | 30 | 124 |
Q4 00:10 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q4 00:57 Cade Cunningham makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Daniss Jenkins misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Jared McCain makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cason Wallace assists)
Q4 1:47 Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:52 Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q4 3:18 Cade Cunningham makes two point stepback jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-118
Thunder lineup change (Buddy Boeheim, Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-118
Jaylin Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
112-118
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-118
Jalen Duren shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-118
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Pistons turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point jump shot
112-118
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-118
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-118
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses three point jump shot
+2
Jared McCain makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cason Wallace assists)
112-118
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Aaron Wiggins flagrant 1 (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request)
Instant replay
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
112-118
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
112-118
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
112-118
Jalen Duren personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 3
112-118
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 3
112-118
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 3 of 3
112-118
Cade Cunningham turnover
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
107-111
Luguentz Dort personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Jaylin Williams turnover (lost ball) (Javonte Green steals)
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point stepback jump shot
112-118
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot
112-118
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
112-118
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed misses two point tip layup
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Paul Reed personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-118
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-118
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed)
+3
Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
92-106
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson turnover (Cason Wallace steals)
Pistons personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-118
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-118
Aaron Wiggins shooting foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-111
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-111
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point jump shot
92-106
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-106
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder offensive rebound
Cade Cunningham turnover (back court violation)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-106
Thunder offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Javonte Green blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving layup
+3
Cade Cunningham makes three point jump shot
92-106
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
107-111
Jalen Duren shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
+2
Jaylin Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jared McCain assists)
107-111
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
107-111
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham)
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-106
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
107-111
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Kevin Huerter)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
107-111
Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons offensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
86-98
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Jalen Duren turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-106
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
92-106
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-85
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter)
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Kevin Huerter)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-85
Thunder lineup change (Buddy Boeheim, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert, Ausar Thompson, Ronald Holland II)
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
+3
Jared McCain makes three point jump shot
72-85
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II personal foul (Jared McCain draws the foul)
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-85
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Kevin Huerter)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
72-85
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II personal foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
72-85
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-85
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
72-85
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-85
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
72-85
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
72-85
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-85
Thunder violation
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Aaron Wiggins shooting foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Kevin Huerter, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Kevin Huerter, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder turnover
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Paul Reed makes two point layup (Ausar Thompson assists)
66-80
Kenrich Williams turnover
Pistons turnover
Thunder personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
+3
Kenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
66-78
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Caris LeVert, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
72-85
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-75
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-75
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Nikola Topic misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nikola Topic shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic, Luguentz Dort)
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-73
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup
61-71
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nikola Topic misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
61-69
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
61-69
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris blocks Cason Wallace's two point layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
58-63
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot
61-65
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
58-63
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-61
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-61
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Thunder turnover
Pistons turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
54-61
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-58
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
52-58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-56
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
50-56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-52
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-53
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
50-51
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-48
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-48
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-48
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-46
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-44
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-43
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-43
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-39
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-39
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain)
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-35
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson)
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-35
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
37-35
Thunder turnover
Pistons personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-32
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-30
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-28
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
34-26
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nikola Topic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-23
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-22
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-22
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-22
Pistons personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-22
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain)
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Caris LeVert turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-22
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-20
Pistons turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Tobias Harris, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Branden Carlson)
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Thunder turnover
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-19
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Caris LeVert, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-20
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-16
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
16-16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-14
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-12
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-12
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
9-12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-10
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-8
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-8
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-6
Thunder turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-4
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
3-2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-0
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Jaylin Williams (Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 44 | N. Topic | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| G | 3 | J. McCain | 20 | 3 | 2 |
| C | 6 | J. Williams | 30 | 11 | 4 |
| F | 14 | B. Boeheim | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 29 | 15 | 2 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 11 | 4 | 7 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 29 | 4 | 13 |
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Thunder vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +360, Pistons -440
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 22%
- Pistons: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 106-115 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 22%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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