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Thunder vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Pistons NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
1st 2:14
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 2:14
Updating LIVE
NBA
26
:
20
Feb 26, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
Feb 26, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
Pistons | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
27%
73%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
Pistons | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Q1 2:14 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q1 2:46 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q1 2:59 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:11 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:32 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q1 3:35 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:24 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:35 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q1 4:48 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-20
Pistons turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Tobias Harris, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Branden Carlson)
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Thunder turnover
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-19
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Caris LeVert, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-20
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-16
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
16-16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-14
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-12
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-12
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
9-12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-10
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-8
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-8
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-6
Thunder turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-4
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
3-2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-0
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Cade Cunningham)
Jaylin Williams (Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 21 | A. Wiggins | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| C | 15 | B. Carlson | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 23 | B. Barnhizer | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 3 | J. McCain | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | R. Holland II | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 7 | P. Reed | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 8 | C. LeVert | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Thunder vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Pistons
- Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +360, Pistons -440
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 22%
- Pistons: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 106-115 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 22%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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