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Celtics vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Nuggets NBA game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Celtics
45
43
Feb 26, 3AM Ball Arena
Nuggets
Feb 26, 3AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Celtics
24 21 0 0 45
Nuggets
21 22 0 0 43
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
CelticsBOS
Win %
84%
16%
NuggetsDEN
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Celtics
24 21 0 0 45
Nuggets
21 22 0 0 43
Q4 00:42 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:08 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:10
Nuggets turnover
Q4 00:33
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Q4 00:36
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 00:36
Luka Garza misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:36
Celtics offensive rebound
Q4 00:36
Luka Garza misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 00:39
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Q4 00:42
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:49
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Q4 00:51
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:54
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q4 00:57
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Q4 1:01
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 1:25
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 1:39
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 1:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 1:44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:55
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 2:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 2:24
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 2:34
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 2:34
Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 2:34
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, KJ Simpson, Spencer Jones, DaRon Holmes II)
Q4 2:43
Celtics turnover
Q4 2:56
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 3:03
Celtics personal foul
Q4 3:16
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 3:18
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 3:18
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 3:18
Jordan Walsh misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 3:23
Nuggets turnover
Q4 3:40
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q4 3:42
Ron Harper Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 4:25
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 4:30
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q4 4:30
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 4:33
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q4 4:33
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:36
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:53
Celtics turnover
Q4 4:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:07
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Q4 5:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:33
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q4 5:33
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 5:33
Celtics lineup change (Jordan Walsh, Dalano Banton, Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Ron Harper Jr.)
Q4 5:33
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 5:36
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:44
Derrick White defensive rebound
Q4 5:46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:03
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 6:05
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:19
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Q4 6:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:35
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q4 6:37
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:44
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 6:44
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q4 6:47
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:02
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 7:02
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q4 7:02
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q4 7:02
Celtics lineup change (Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
Q4 7:15
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 7:25
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 7:28
+3
Baylor Scheierman makes three point running jump shot
45-43
Q4 7:29
Instant replay
Q4 7:31
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q4 7:33
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:35
Baylor Scheierman turnover (out of bounds step)
Q4 7:45
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q4 7:49
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:05
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q4 8:07
Celtics personal foul
Q4 8:07
+1
Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q4 8:07
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White)
Q4 8:07
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones)
Q4 8:07
Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 8:11
KJ Simpson defensive rebound
Q4 8:13
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:14
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Q4 8:15
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:42
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 8:44
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Q4 8:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:01
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q4 9:04
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:11
Nuggets turnover
Q4 9:23
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q4 9:26
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:42
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Q4 9:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:02
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q4 10:18
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q4 10:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 10:24
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 10:31
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q4 11:07
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q4 11:12
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:23
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Q4 11:26
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:40
Celtics personal foul
Q4 11:46
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q4 11:50
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
KJ Simpson defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Celtics lineup change (Baylor Scheierman, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, John Tonje)
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, KJ Simpson, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones)
Q3 00:02
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 00:21
Celtics turnover
Q3 00:33
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 00:38
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:38
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 00:42
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 00:44
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 1:05
Celtics violation
Q3 1:07
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 1:09
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:27
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q3 1:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 1:32
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:34
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:48
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 1:57
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:57
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q3 1:57
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, KJ Simpson, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 1:57
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Payton Pritchard, Nikola Vucevic, Derrick White)
Q3 1:57
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q3 2:22
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 2:40
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 2:48
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 2:52
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:10
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 3:16
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Q3 3:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:30
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 3:31
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:46
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q3 3:46
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., KJ Simpson, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q3 3:49
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 3:56
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 3:59
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:14
Celtics personal foul
Q3 4:14
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q3 4:14
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q3 4:14
Celtics lineup change (Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Nikola Vucevic)
Q3 4:20
Celtics personal foul
Q3 4:20
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q3 4:27
Celtics turnover
Q3 4:33
Nuggets turnover
Q3 4:38
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q3 4:41
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:54
Celtics defensive rebound
Q3 4:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:57
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:18
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 5:30
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Q3 5:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:58
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 5:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:58
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 5:58
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Nikola Vucevic)
Q3 5:58
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q3 6:01
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 6:29
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 6:34
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:41
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 6:43
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:55
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 7:12
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 7:28
Derrick White turnover
Q3 7:35
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 7:37
Celtics personal foul
Q3 7:37
Neemias Queta turnover
Q3 7:37
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 7:37
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Neemias Queta, Nikola Vucevic, Derrick White)
Q3 7:37
Neemias Queta turnover
Q3 7:39
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 7:55
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 7:55
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q3 7:55
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q3 8:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q3 8:21
Celtics personal foul
Q3 8:28
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 8:30
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:40
Derrick White defensive rebound
Q3 8:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:03
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:03
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 9:03
Celtics turnover (shot clock violation)
Q3 9:17
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 9:28
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q3 9:29
Nuggets turnover
Q3 9:31
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:43
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 9:51
Nuggets turnover
Q3 10:09
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 10:23
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 10:25
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:30
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 10:33
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:58
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q3 11:09
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 11:09
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q3 11:09
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q3 11:13
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Q3 11:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:29
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 11:29
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 11:29
Celtics offensive rebound
Q3 11:29
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q3 11:37
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Q3 11:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Payton Pritchard misses heave shot
Q2 00:00
Celtics offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Q3 12:00
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Neemias Queta, Sam Hauser, Derrick White)
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 00:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:19
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q2 00:34
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q2 00:37
Celtics turnover
Q2 00:48
Celtics personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Q2 00:48
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic)
Q2 00:48
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-43
Q2 00:48
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-43
Q2 1:02
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q2 1:02
Derrick White offensive rebound
Q2 1:06
Nikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:27
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
45-43
Q2 1:30
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 1:32
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:45
Christian Braun personal foul
Q2 1:45
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 2:01
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Q2 2:04
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:24
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
43-40
Q2 2:35
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Q2 2:39
KJ Simpson misses two point pullup jump shot
Q2 2:39
Jaylen Brown blocks KJ Simpson's two point tip layup
Q2 2:39
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Q2 2:47
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q2 2:50
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:06
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Q2 3:08
Celtics personal foul
Q2 3:08
Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:08
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 3:08
Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:08
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Cameron Johnson, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 3:15
Celtics turnover
Q2 3:15
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Nikola Vucevic, Derrick White)
Q2 3:24
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Q2 3:27
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:33
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 3:36
Zeke Nnaji blocks Jaylen Brown's two point jump shot
Q2 3:40
Nikola Vucevic offensive rebound
Q2 3:44
Baylor Scheierman misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:51
Julian Strawther turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)
Q2 4:04
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-40
Q2 4:04
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 4:04
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 4:04
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 4:04
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 4:04
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, KJ Simpson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 4:05
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-40
Q2 4:12
Nikola Vucevic defensive rebound
Q2 4:15
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:28
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q2 4:30
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:43
Derrick White defensive rebound
Q2 4:46
Celtics personal foul
Q2 4:46
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 4:46
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 4:46
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:46
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Payton Pritchard, Nikola Vucevic, Derrick White)
Q2 4:59
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 5:03
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:08
Derrick White offensive rebound
Q2 5:12
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:25
Celtics personal foul
Q2 5:25
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-38
Q2 5:25
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-40
Q2 5:27
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q2 5:29
Jaylen Brown misses two point layup
Q2 5:32
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:43
Derrick White turnover (bad pass) (Julian Strawther steals)
Q2 5:58
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Bruce Brown assists)
39-38
Q2 6:08
Jaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q2 6:08
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 6:08
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Q2 6:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:09
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Q2 6:09
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Nikola Vucevic, Ron Harper Jr., Derrick White)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Celtics
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
C52 L. Garza 0 2 1
G28 H. Gonzalez 5 2 1
G27 J. Walsh 4 3 0
G-F13 R. Harper Jr. 3 1 2
F45 D. Banton 0 0 1
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G3 J. Strawther 12 1 1
F21 S. Jones 6 7 0
F-C22 Z. Nnaji 0 3 0
G25 K. Simpson 2 4 4
F14 D. Holmes II 5 1 0

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Celtics vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Celtics vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229
  • Moneyline Odds: Celtics +135, Nuggets -154

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Celtics: 37%
  • Nuggets: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 112-116 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 37%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Celtics in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Celtics vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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