NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Keon Ellis [3/15/2026]

Keon Ellis over 1.5 blocks (+194)

• Edge: 13.4%
• Probability: 47.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers (3:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Cleveland's Keon Ellis over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.4% gives this play an edge of 13.4% at +194 odds.

Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Jazz vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Precious Achiuwa’s blocks prop shows an 11.8% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made (+143)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers (3:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made, with simulations showing a 51.7% probability and a 10.6% edge at +143.

Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Raptors (3:30PM ET)

Our model projects Immanuel Quickley to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 10.2% on the over 1.5 line at +180 odds.

Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. 76ers (6:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals for Portland, showing an edge of 9.0% at +178 odds.

Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. 76ers (6:00PM ET)

Toumani Camara’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.9% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Kyle Kuzma over 4.5 rebounds (+124)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Pacers vs. Bucks (3:30PM ET)

Our model projects Kyle Kuzma for 4.8 rebounds for Milwaukee, creating an edge of 7.1% on over 4.5 at +124 odds.

Will Richard over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 46.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Warriors vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Will Richard for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds and a 6.6% edge.

Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists (+122)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Projection: 7.8
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. 76ers (6:00PM ET)

A 6.6% edge on the over 1.5 assists line makes Deni Avdija a value play in Trail Blazers vs. 76ers, with our model projecting him for 7.8 assists at +122 odds.

Scottie Barnes over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Raptors (3:30PM ET)

Simulations project Scottie Barnes for 1.3 steals here, creating a 6.3% edge on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, March 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:54PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers	Keon Ellis over 1.5 blocks	+194 @ FanDuel	13.4%	47.4%
Jazz vs. Kings	Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.8%	47.8%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers	Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made	+143 @ DraftKings	10.2%	45.9%
Pistons vs. Raptors	Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	10.2%	45.9%
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers	Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.0%	44.9%
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers	Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	8.9%	44.9%
Pacers vs. Bucks	Kyle Kuzma over 4.5 rebounds	+124 @ FanDuel	7.1%	51.7%
Warriors vs. Knicks	Will Richard over 1.5 steals	+148 @ DraftKings	6.6%	46.9%
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers	Deni Avdija over 1.5 assists	+122 @ FanDuel	6.6%	51.6%
Pistons vs. Raptors	Scottie Barnes over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	6.3%	46.6%

Conclusion

For March 15, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Keon Ellis, Precious Achiuwa and Max Christie. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.