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Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Bucks NBA game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Pacers
65
:
62
Mar 15, 7:30PM Fiserv Forum
Bucks
Mar 15, 7:30PM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Pacers
34 31 0 0 65
Bucks
26 36 0 0 62
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
PacersIND
Win %
33%
67%
BucksMIL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
34 31 0 0 65
Bucks
26 36 0 0 62
Q2 00:02 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:34 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:53 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:12 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q2 1:16 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:20 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:25 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:43 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:56 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:10 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q2 00:00
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:02
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:21
Pacers personal foul
Q2 00:21
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-61
Q2 00:21
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q2 00:21
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris)
Q2 00:21
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-62
Q2 00:31
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q2 00:34
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:50
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Q2 00:53
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:12
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
65-60
Q2 1:13
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Q2 1:16
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:17
Ivica Zubac offensive rebound
Q2 1:20
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:25
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:25
Pacers offensive rebound
Q2 1:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:43
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:43
Pacers defensive rebound
Q2 1:43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:53
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q2 1:56
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:05
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Q2 2:10
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:31
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
62-60
Q2 2:40
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Q2 2:43
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:52
Bucks turnover
Q2 3:17
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
62-57
Q2 3:24
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q2 3:24
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
60-57
Q2 3:33
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:55
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
60-55
Q2 4:01
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:01
Pacers offensive rebound
Q2 4:01
Bucks personal foul
Q2 4:01
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 4:01
Instant replay
Q2 4:17
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
57-55
Q2 4:17
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q2 4:17
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q2 4:17
Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q2 4:25
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 4:29
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:36
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
57-52
Q2 4:37
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q2 4:39
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:45
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q2 4:49
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:09
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q2 5:09
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
57-50
Q2 5:09
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q2 5:11
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:11
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point putback layup
Q2 5:11
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q2 5:20
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 5:23
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:39
Bucks turnover
Q2 5:39
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins)
Q2 5:39
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)
Q2 5:54
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
57-48
Q2 6:19
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
54-48
Q2 6:36
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
54-45
Q2 6:44
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Q2 6:47
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q2 6:47
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:52
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:00
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q2 7:05
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:27
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
51-45
Q2 7:43
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
51-42
Q2 7:43
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 7:43
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith)
Q2 7:47
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Q2 7:51
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:06
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
48-42
Q2 8:30
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
46-42
Q2 8:30
Bucks violation
Q2 8:48
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
46-40
Q2 9:04
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
43-40
Q2 9:21
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
43-37
Q2 9:26
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Q2 9:31
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:35
Pacers turnover
Q2 9:52
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
40-36
Q2 9:52
Pacers personal foul
Q2 9:52
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-37
Q2 10:01
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-34
Q2 10:12
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
38-34
Q2 10:17
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Q2 10:20
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:37
Pacers personal foul
Q2 10:37
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-30
Q2 10:37
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-31
Q2 10:37
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris)
Q2 10:42
Pacers turnover
Q2 10:57
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Q2 11:04
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:16
Bucks personal foul
Q2 11:16
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-29
Q2 11:16
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Pete Nance, Gary Harris)
Q2 11:16
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q2 11:16
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-29
Q2 11:32
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
36-29
Q2 11:50
Bucks personal foul
Q2 11:50
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-26
Q2 11:50
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-26
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:17
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
34-26
Q1 00:36
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
34-24
Q1 00:48
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Q1 00:50
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:06
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:06
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q1 1:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:06
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Pete Nance, Gary Harris)
Q1 1:06
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 1:09
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q1 1:13
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:32
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
31-24
Q1 1:47
Bucks personal foul
Q1 1:47
Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 1:47
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ivica Zubac, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 1:53
Bucks personal foul
Q1 1:53
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-24
Q1 1:53
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 1:53
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-24
Q1 1:56
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Q1 2:01
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:09
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:24
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-24
Q1 2:49
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
26-22
Q1 2:49
Bucks personal foul
Q1 2:49
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-22
Q1 2:58
Bucks violation
Q1 2:58
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q1 2:58
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Taelon Peter, Jarace Walker)
Q1 2:58
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Gary Harris)
Q1 3:12
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
24-22
Q1 3:32
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
24-19
Q1 3:34
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
Q1 3:39
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:42
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q1 3:47
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:48
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q1 3:50
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:03
Pacers turnover
Q1 4:19
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Q1 4:23
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:38
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q1 4:38
Bucks personal foul
Q1 4:38
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
20-19
Q1 4:38
Bucks personal foul
Q1 4:38
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-19
Q1 4:38
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 4:38
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith)
Q1 4:38
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith)
Q1 4:41
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:56
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
18-19
Q1 5:19
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
15-19
Q1 5:23
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 5:32
Pacers turnover
Q1 5:32
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Taelon Peter, Aaron Nesmith)
Q1 5:32
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 5:32
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 5:32
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 5:32
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith)
Q1 5:40
Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
Q1 5:44
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:11
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
14-16
Q1 6:11
Bucks personal foul
Q1 6:11
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 6:11
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
15-16
Q1 6:22
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
12-16
Q1 6:27
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 6:30
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:38
Bucks turnover
Q1 6:40
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q1 6:42
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:57
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
12-13
Q1 7:08
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
10-13
Q1 7:25
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Q1 7:28
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:42
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
10-11
Q1 7:42
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q1 7:42
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Myles Turner, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 7:48
Pacers turnover
Q1 7:51
Ivica Zubac offensive rebound
Q1 7:53
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:10
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
10-9
Q1 8:12
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q1 8:17
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:35
Bucks personal foul
Q1 8:35
+1
Ivica Zubac makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-6
Q1 8:35
+1
Ivica Zubac makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-6
Q1 8:42
Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
Q1 8:46
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:59
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 9:02
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:04
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Q1 9:10
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:21
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q1 9:25
Pacers personal foul
Q1 9:25
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-6
Q1 9:25
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 9:43
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
8-5
Q1 9:56
Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
Q1 10:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:14
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
5-5
Q1 10:20
Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
Q1 10:24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:45
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
3-5
Q1 11:00
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
0-5
Q1 11:07
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 11:11
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:38
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
0-3
Q1 11:51
Pacers personal foul
Q1 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Myles Turner, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Ivica Zubac, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell)
Q1 12:00
Ivica Zubac (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Pacers
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
C32 J. Huff 11 0 0
F1 O. Toppin 9 2 2
F5 J. Walker 0 4 4
G23 A. Nesmith 24 2 1
G9 T. McConnell 7 2 7
Bucks
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G11 G. Harris 0 0 0
F12 T. Prince 3 2 0
F18 K. Kuzma 6 1 2
C3 M. Turner 8 2 0
G13 R. Rollins 5 1 2

Game Prediction Article

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Pacers vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Bucks
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bucks favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +250, Bucks -294

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 26%
  • Bucks: 74%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 110-118 Bucks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 26%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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