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Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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2nd 2:12
NBA
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2nd 2:12
Updating LIVE
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52
:
49
Mar 15, 7:30PM Rocket Arena
Mar 15, 7:30PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 35 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Cavaliers | 31 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
18%
82%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 35 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Cavaliers | 31 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
Q2 2:37 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q2 2:58 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:15 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:31 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:40 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:52 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:24 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:36 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q2 4:42 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q2 5:01 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-49
Cavaliers personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-48
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-49
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
51-47
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
49-47
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
47-47
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
45-47
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton)
Cavaliers turnover
Max Strus defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
45-45
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-42
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
43-44
Mavericks personal foul
Naji Marshall turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden)
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Keon Ellis offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-42
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
43-42
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-42
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dean Wade, Max Strus, James Harden, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-40
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
40-38
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
40-35
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
38-35
Mavericks personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
38-33
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
35-33
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers violation
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, John Poulakidas, P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Ryan Nembhard)
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
35-31
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
33-31
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks turnover
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
33-29
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-29
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-27
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-27
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
28-27
Max Strus defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
28-24
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-22
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
26-22
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
Keon Ellis offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
26-19
Mavericks turnover (James Harden steals)
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Khris Middleton, Max Christie)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Keon Ellis blocks P.J. Washington's two point putback layup
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
26-16
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
23-16
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
20-16
Cavaliers turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
17-16
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-16
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-14
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
13-14
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-11
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
11-11
Mavericks personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 1
James Harden defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade offensive rebound
+2
Dean Wade makes two point jump shot
11-9
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
11-7
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
9-7
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
7-7
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
7-5
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
4-5
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
4-2
Cavaliers personal foul
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
2-2
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Cooper Flagg turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
Start of 1st Quarter
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
(Dean Wade gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 13 | N. Marshall | 14 | 1 | 5 |
| F | 32 | C. Flagg | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 10 | B. Williams | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| C | 25 | P. Washington | 12 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 20 | K. Middleton | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| G-F | 2 | M. Strus | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| C | 4 | E. Mobley | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 12 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 14 | K. Ellis | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Game Prediction Article
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Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +800, Cavaliers -1100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 14%
- Cavaliers: 86%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 110-123 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 14%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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